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PaulS's picture

Jeff Rubin - excellent video on energy

Jeff Rubin, the former Chief Economist of CIBC World Markets, speaks at The Business of Climate Change conference. Mr. Rubin predicts high oil price by 2012 and with it the ending of globalization, a movement towards local sourcing and a need for massive scaling up of energy efficiency.

Powerful explanation of the realities of Peak Oil and the absolute necessity of imposing cost on Carbon - essential viewing !

http://www.environmentalleader.com/2010/01/15/jeff-rubin-at-the-business...
or here
http://www.energybulletin.net/node/51306

" We are never going to run of oil ... but we will, in fact we have already run out of affordable oil ...
Triple digit oil is just the type of oil you can't afford to run the economy"

"Every year we loose some 4 billion barrels of oil per year through exhaustion of existing oil well ...
If we have an economic recovery we have a huge problem - because we will not be able to replace the oil that recovery demands"

"In the market price rations demand - not so in the oil business. Witness the dramatic increase in demand as the price of oil went from $20 to $100 plus"

Stop considering middle east production, start concentrating on total exports from middle east - these are falling dramatically.

"Triple digit oil prices are coming in the next 10-12 months"

"Current crisis is not 'sub-prime mortgage' issue, it is energy shock issue. You can bail out banks, you cannot create more oil"

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I have been saying this for the past year: the oil price will increase as soon as the world economy shows signs of reasonable recovery, which probably means this year. That will cause another recession and so it will go on.

But then who am I to offer opinions. After all I only got the last four years right in the face of general disagreement. We shall see ...
Paul